PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Whisenhunt vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Whisenhunt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Whisenhunt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .245vs RHH xwOBA .445Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 37%Slider 19%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Whisenhunt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .404
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →