PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Whisenhunt vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Whisenhunt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Whisenhunt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .401Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 35%Slider 15%Sinker 6%SV 2%Curveball 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Whisenhunt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.