PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Whisenhunt vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Whisenhunt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Whisenhunt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .401Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 35%Slider 15%Sinker 6%SV 2%Curveball 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Whisenhunt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .393
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.