PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Palmquist vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Palmquist's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sweeper 32%Cutter 12%Sinker 9%Changeup 3%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.