PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Palmquist vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Palmquist's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 33%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Changeup 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .222 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.