PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Palmquist vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Palmquist's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sweeper 32%Cutter 12%Sinker 10%Changeup 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.