PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Palmquist vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Palmquist's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 33%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Changeup 3%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.