PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Palmquist vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Palmquist's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 33%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Changeup 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.