PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Palmquist vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Palmquist's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sweeper 32%Cutter 12%Sinker 9%Changeup 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.