PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Palmquist vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Palmquist's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 33%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Changeup 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 679 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.