PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Palmquist vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Palmquist's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sweeper 32%Cutter 12%Sinker 10%Changeup 3%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →