PITCHER MATCHUP
Carson Palmquist vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Palmquist's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Carson Palmquist's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 33%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Changeup 3%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Palmquist, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.