PITCHER MATCHUP

Carmen Mlodzinski vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carmen Mlodzinski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carmen Mlodzinski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Splitter 20%Sinker 15%Sweeper 11%Slider 10%Curveball 10%Cutter 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carmen Mlodzinski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →