PITCHER MATCHUP

Carmen Mlodzinski vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carmen Mlodzinski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carmen Mlodzinski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 20%Sinker 16%Sweeper 11%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carmen Mlodzinski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .389
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .453 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.