PITCHER MATCHUP

Carmen Mlodzinski vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carmen Mlodzinski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carmen Mlodzinski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 20%Sinker 16%Sweeper 11%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carmen Mlodzinski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 623 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .392
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.