PITCHER MATCHUP

Carmen Mlodzinski vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carmen Mlodzinski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carmen Mlodzinski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Splitter 20%Sinker 15%Sweeper 11%Slider 10%Curveball 9%Cutter 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carmen Mlodzinski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →