PITCHER MATCHUP

Caleb Ferguson vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Caleb Ferguson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Caleb Ferguson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 25%Sinker 24%SV 20%Unknown 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Caleb Ferguson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.