PITCHER MATCHUP

Caleb Ferguson vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Caleb Ferguson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Caleb Ferguson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .270vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 24%Sinker 23%SV 20%Unknown 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Caleb Ferguson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.