PITCHER MATCHUP

Caleb Ferguson vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Caleb Ferguson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Caleb Ferguson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Cutter 25%Sinker 24%SV 20%Unknown 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Caleb Ferguson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 650 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.