PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Povich vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Povich's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Povich's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .345Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Curveball 21%Changeup 14%Sinker 11%Sweeper 8%Slider 5%Cutter 2%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Povich, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-31 game page →