PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Povich vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Povich's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Povich's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Curveball 22%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Sweeper 7%Slider 5%Cutter 2%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Povich, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 657 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Joc Pederson LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CS Corey Seager LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.