PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Povich vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Povich's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Povich's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Curveball 21%Changeup 14%Sinker 11%Sweeper 8%Slider 5%Cutter 2%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Povich, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-09 game page →