PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Povich vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Povich's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Povich's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Curveball 22%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Sweeper 7%Slider 5%Cutter 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Povich, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.