PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Gibson vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Gibson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Gibson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025
Curveball 26%Sinker 23%Sweeper 19%Slider 12%Changeup 11%Four-Seam Fastball 7%Unknown 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Gibson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 671 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-18 game page →