PITCHER MATCHUP
Cade Cavalli vs New York Yankees
How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Cade Cavalli's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Knuckle Curve 27%Sinker 17%Sweeper 10%Changeup 10%Cutter 3%
How the New York Yankees's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .328
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1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JC José Caballero RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AW Austin Wells LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-12 game page →