PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 27%Sinker 14%Sweeper 12%Changeup 9%Cutter 5%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.