PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 16%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Cutter 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-22 game page →