PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 14%Sweeper 13%Changeup 9%Cutter 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DM Dane Myers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.