PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 16%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Cutter 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →