PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 14%Sweeper 13%Changeup 9%Cutter 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.