PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 15%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Cutter 5%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.