PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 27%Sinker 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 10%Cutter 3%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →