PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 16%Sweeper 10%Changeup 9%Cutter 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.