PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 14%Sweeper 13%Changeup 9%Cutter 6%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.