PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 15%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Cutter 5%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ED Elias Díaz RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elias Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-19 game page →