PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 14%Sweeper 13%Changeup 9%Cutter 6%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 709 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.