PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 14%Sweeper 13%Changeup 9%Cutter 6%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.