PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 16%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Cutter 4%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 653 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 557 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .440 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.