PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .345Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 27%Sinker 17%Changeup 10%Sweeper 10%Cutter 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-25 game page →