PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 27%Sinker 14%Sweeper 12%Changeup 9%Cutter 5%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-29 game page →