PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 16%Sweeper 10%Changeup 9%Cutter 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.