PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 15%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Cutter 5%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MB Michael Busch LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-13 game page →