PITCHER MATCHUP
Cade Cavalli vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Cade Cavalli's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 27%Sinker 14%Sweeper 12%Changeup 9%Cutter 5%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .356
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 662 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.