PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 16%Sweeper 10%Changeup 9%Cutter 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →