PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Knuckle Curve 26%Sinker 16%Sweeper 10%Changeup 9%Cutter 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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