PITCHER MATCHUP

Cade Cavalli vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cade Cavalli's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cade Cavalli's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Knuckle Curve 27%Sinker 14%Sweeper 12%Changeup 9%Cutter 5%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cade Cavalli, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.