PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 18%Changeup 16%Sinker 7%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.