PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 18%Slider 17%Sinker 6%Sweeper 6%Curveball 5%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →