PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 18%Changeup 16%Sinker 8%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 562 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-25 game page →