PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 19%Changeup 16%Sinker 7%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.