PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 19%Changeup 16%Sinker 7%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.