PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Changeup 19%Slider 15%Sweeper 6%Curveball 5%Sinker 5%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →