PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 18%Slider 18%Sinker 6%Sweeper 5%Curveball 4%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.