PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Changeup 18%Slider 15%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%Curveball 5%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .447 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-30 game page →