PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 18%Changeup 16%Sinker 8%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .445 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.