PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 18%Changeup 18%Sinker 6%Sweeper 5%Curveball 4%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .450 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.