PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Changeup 18%Slider 17%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%Curveball 5%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →