PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 18%Slider 18%Sinker 6%Sweeper 5%Curveball 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-08 game page →