PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 18%Changeup 16%Sinker 8%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 623 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .407
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .450 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.