PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 18%Slider 18%Sinker 6%Sweeper 5%Curveball 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.