PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Changeup 19%Slider 15%Sweeper 6%Curveball 5%Sinker 5%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CN Connor Norby RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.