PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 19%Changeup 16%Sinker 7%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.