PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 19%Changeup 16%Sinker 7%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 636 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.