PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 19%Changeup 16%Sinker 7%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.