PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 18%Slider 18%Sinker 6%Sweeper 5%Curveball 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.