PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 18%Changeup 16%Sinker 7%Curveball 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Tyrone Taylor RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyrone Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-13 game page →