PITCHER MATCHUP

Bubba Chandler vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bubba Chandler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bubba Chandler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 18%Slider 17%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%Curveball 5%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bubba Chandler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jackson Chourio SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-11 game page →