PITCHER MATCHUP
Bryan Woo vs Boston Red Sox
How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Bryan Woo's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sinker 22%Slider 12%Sweeper 11%Changeup 7%Curveball 1%
How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .351
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.