PITCHER MATCHUP
Bryan Woo vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Bryan Woo's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sinker 22%Slider 12%Sweeper 11%Changeup 7%Curveball 1%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 HD Henry Davis RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.