PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryan Woo vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryan Woo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .258Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sinker 22%Slider 12%Sweeper 11%Changeup 7%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-24 game page →