PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryan Woo vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryan Woo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .256Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sinker 22%Slider 13%Sweeper 10%Changeup 7%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.