PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryan Woo vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryan Woo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sinker 23%Slider 12%Sweeper 11%Changeup 7%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LT Leody Taveras SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.