PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryan Woo vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryan Woo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .254Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sinker 22%Slider 12%Sweeper 11%Changeup 7%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Joe Mack LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →