PITCHER MATCHUP
Bryan Woo vs Chicago Cubs
How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Bryan Woo's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .260Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sinker 22%Slider 13%Sweeper 10%Changeup 7%Curveball 1%
How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MB Michael Busch LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IH Ian Happ SH .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-22 game page →