PITCHER MATCHUP
Bryan Woo vs Chicago Cubs
How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Bryan Woo's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sinker 22%Slider 12%Sweeper 11%Changeup 7%Curveball 1%
How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MB Michael Busch LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IH Ian Happ SH .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.