PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryan Woo vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryan Woo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .258Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sinker 22%Slider 13%Sweeper 10%Changeup 7%Curveball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .405
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →