PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryan Woo vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryan Woo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryan Woo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sinker 22%Slider 12%Sweeper 11%Changeup 7%Curveball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryan Woo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.