PITCHER MATCHUP

Brock Stewart vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brock Stewart's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brock Stewart's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .231Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 19%Sinker 12%Changeup 12%Cutter 10%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brock Stewart, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.