PITCHER MATCHUP

Brock Stewart vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brock Stewart's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brock Stewart's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .228Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sweeper 19%Sinker 13%Changeup 12%Cutter 10%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brock Stewart, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.