PITCHER MATCHUP

Brayan Bello vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brayan Bello's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brayan Bello's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Changeup 19%Sweeper 18%Cutter 13%Four-Seam Fastball 11%Curveball 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brayan Bello, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.