PITCHER MATCHUP

Brayan Bello vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brayan Bello's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brayan Bello's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Changeup 19%Sweeper 18%Cutter 13%Four-Seam Fastball 11%Curveball 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brayan Bello, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.