PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 26%Curveball 25%Sinker 15%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-20 game page →