PITCHER MATCHUP
Braxton Ashcraft vs New York Yankees
How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 25%Slider 24%Sinker 17%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%
How the New York Yankees's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 BR Ben Rice LHB .364
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JC José Caballero RHB .284
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 AW Austin Wells LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.