PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 26%Curveball 25%Sinker 15%Splitter 4%Changeup 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →