PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 25%Slider 24%Sinker 17%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.