PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 25%Slider 24%Sinker 17%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.