PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 25%Slider 24%Sinker 17%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.