PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 25%Curveball 25%Sinker 15%Splitter 4%Changeup 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .442 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.