PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 26%Curveball 24%Sinker 16%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .440 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-29 game page →