PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 25%Slider 24%Sinker 17%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.