PITCHER MATCHUP
Braxton Ashcraft vs Washington Nationals
How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 25%Curveball 25%Sinker 15%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%
How the Washington Nationals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .302
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1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JY Jacob Young RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BH Brady House RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JT José Tena LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.