PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .263Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 26%Curveball 24%Sinker 15%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →