PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 25%Slider 24%Sinker 17%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.