PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 25%Curveball 25%Sinker 16%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 639 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 567 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.