PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 25%Curveball 25%Sinker 16%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-30 game page →