PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 25%Slider 24%Sinker 17%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.